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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | cay520 | googleplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 0% (0–2, n=2) | 50% (5–5, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | -$330K | $822K | -$180 | $430K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | — | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | — | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | — | 80% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | cay520 | googleplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $227K | Ciryl Gane $323K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $554 | — | — | Over $67K |
| Celtics vs. Raptors same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $5.6K | Raptors $24K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $3.6K | Pacers $3.3K | — | — |