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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankcapnjack1497Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)49% (68–71, n=139)56% (20–16, n=36)no settled market75% (767–259, n=1026)
Consensus PnL-$393K$822K—$113K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #1PM monthly #530PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus25% (3 of 12 open)33% (2 of 6 open)no open consensus position69% (133 of 193 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%—52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%—31% (won 9% of 66)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)—26% (won 45% of 56)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)—14% (won 69% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)—29% (won 97% of 63)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankcapnjack1497Flaznorp
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $227KCiryl Gane $323K——
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Karolina Muchova
Elina Svitolina $15K——Karolina Muchova $22K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $48——No $19K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $9.2K——Knicks $183
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Aryna Sabalenka $20K——Aryna Sabalenka $2.0K
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $4.0K——Cavaliers $660
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95——Vikings $6