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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3321, n=7860) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 47% (14228–15728, n=29956) | 74% (192–69, n=261) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $14.8M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #857 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 45% (10 of 22 open) | 75% (21 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 72% of 257 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 21% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 4% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $64K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu same side · consensus Claire Liu | Zeynep Sonmez $835 | — | Zeynep Sonmez $3.1K | — |