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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankKaczka
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)45% (572–710, n=1282)51% (438–424, n=862)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$7.9M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #2was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)77% (27 of 35 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +28 pts n=437, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=90, ROI +18%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%83% of 580 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)23% (won 71% of 134)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)61% (won 87% of 356)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)11% (won 92% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankKaczka
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $77K—Suns $316
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $55K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36KRavens $292K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29KRavens $194K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KRavens $293—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—