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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ISMS2222 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 36% (25–44, n=69) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $165K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #668 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −15 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 33% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 24% (won 15% of 13) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 29% (won 63% of 16) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 9% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ISMS2222 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $76K | Yes $34K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Tomas Etcheverry $13K | — | — | Tomas Etcheverry $20K |