← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $155K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $5.7K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $48K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $78K | Yes $143K | — |