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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankHawk.live
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)45% (571–700, n=1271)55% (295–239, n=534)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$9.4M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #1PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)59% (17 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Esports ±0 pts, n=514
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)23% (won 4% of 121)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)15% (won 28% of 79)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)25% (won 68% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)37% (won 92% of 192)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankHawk.live
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $6Grizzlies $218K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $19KPistons $90K—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $43Jazz $75K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3KCeltics $880—