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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Hawk.live | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 55% (295–239, n=534) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $19K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #964 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 54% (15 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Esports ±0 pts, n=514 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 520 at avg 56¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 23% (won 4% of 121) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 28% of 79) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 25% (won 68% of 128) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 37% (won 92% of 192) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Hawk.live | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $210 | Yes $80K | — | — |