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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 41% (3270–4728, n=7998) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | -$460K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #288 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 73% (577 of 789 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $765K | Yes $344 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $4 | Grizzlies $330K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $70K | No $1.1K |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $1.6K | Hawks $2.8K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $214 | — | No $891 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $37 | Jazz $61K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | Yes $464 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $22K | Yes $70 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | Yes $63 |