Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorptntlym
Record (consensus markets)54% (94–79, n=173)54% (25–21, n=46)75% (1078–358, n=1436)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$250K$737K$138K—
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #1PM monthly #23PM monthly #838
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)57% (4 of 7 open)70% (120 of 171 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=23, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 78 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 234 at avg 50¢, ROI −3%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 8% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 20)57% (won 100% of 13)25% (won 46% of 59)—
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 35)39% (won 100% of 9)15% (won 68% of 34)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 100% of 21)4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 68)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorptntlym
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $231KCiryl Gane $325K——
Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang
opposite sides · consensus Juncheng Shang
Carl Overbeck $4.5K—Juncheng Shang $5.5K—
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.4K—Teletubisie $615—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—