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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | henryttok | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3296, n=7817) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 0% (0–2, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.5M | -$8.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 70% (185 of 266 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 0% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI −41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 100% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | henryttok |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $79K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Tomas Etcheverry $26K | — | Tomas Etcheverry $10K | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $25K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs same side · consensus Rider Broncs | Rider Broncs $2.9K | — | Rider Broncs $171 | — |