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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BABELCONSTELndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)82% (314–69, n=383)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$551K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #311PM monthly #146PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (10 of 17 open)67% (2 of 3 open)74% (34 of 46 open)66% (123 of 187 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +14 pts n=82, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%90% of 723 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)4% (won 3% of 29)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 69% of 42)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)14% (won 79% of 103)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)76% (won 98% of 549)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BABELCONSTELndb1RN1
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K——Carole Monnet $9.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Alex Michelsen $3.9K——Carlos Alcaraz $6.9K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $357——Under $157
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $86K——No $4.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $22K——Matteo Berrettini $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $5.3K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251——Under $379
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194——Over $81