← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (36–36, n=72) | no settled market | 74% (426–151, n=577) | 50% (2–2, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | — | $47K | -$6.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #429 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #23 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (52 of 78 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=14 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 187 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 5% of 20) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 11% (won 65% of 20) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 12% (won 86% of 22) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 67% (won 98% of 125) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | Flaznorp | gmpm2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | Under $730 | — |