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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 82% (339–73, n=412) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1129, n=2245) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$566K | $7.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #420 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 90% of 752 at avg 81¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 14% (won 79% of 106) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 76% (won 98% of 575) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $40K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | No $59K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $2.4K | — |