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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 82% (321–71, n=392) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$551K | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #306 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 52% (13 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | — | Grizzlies $218K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7.0K | No $182K |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $1.1K | — | Jazz $75K |