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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 36% (20–36, n=56) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $33K | $9.4M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (14 of 19 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 83% (won 14% of 44) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 15% (won 75% of 8) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 0% | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AzariahJuby | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $75K | No $258K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | — | No $651K | — |