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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Alegrandebigndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)93% (1480–114, n=1594)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$8.1K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #838PM monthly #96PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)94% (29 of 31 open)69% (52 of 75 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Finance −2 pts, n=113NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)2% (won 12% of 33)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)3% (won 46% of 41)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)4% (won 62% of 50)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)91% (won 99% of 1246)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Alegrandebigndb1primm
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $5No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $781No $29K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $499Yes $529—