← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 49% (24–25, n=49) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$32K | $7.9M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (20 of 29 open) | 71% (193 of 270 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 0% | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 26% (won 44% of 9) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 74% (won 60% of 25) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ackbar | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | Yes $73K | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | — | Over $8 |
| New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs same side · consensus Rider Broncs | Rider Broncs $3.6K | — | — | Rider Broncs $175 |