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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 237492103894712349 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 63% (35–21, n=56) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1128, n=2244) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $31K | $7.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #940 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 82% of 34 at avg 70¢, ROI +14% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 9% (won 67% of 3) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 18% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 12% (won 75% of 4) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 62% (won 90% of 21) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 237492103894712349 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $46K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | No $64K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $2.4K | — |