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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)100% (12–0, n=12)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$22K$7.7M$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #939PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #113
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (41 of 54 open)74% (160 of 216 open)72% (71 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=10—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 90% of 10)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketIlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15KNo $23K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421K—No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $201KNo $76K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KColts $63—