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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6endb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (1631–670, n=2301)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$146K$3.2M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #169PM monthly #106PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (21 of 31 open)74% (82 of 111 open)no open consensus position57% (86 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6endb1primmRN1
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10——No $925
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $225——Yes $11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $6——No $28K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $103——Yes $3.7K
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $125——No $406
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $24——No $124