PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0dae0fd966005cd3eb2e8e9b901f24fca34a72fesainttroplayomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)48% (11959–12793, n=24752)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999was PM monthly #11PM monthly #15PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position60% (18 of 30 open)58% (33 of 57 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%8% (won 58% of 840)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2168)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3916)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%32% (won 99% of 3284)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x0dae0fd966005cd3eb2e8e9b901f24fca34a72fesainttroplayomnibus-076daaRN1
Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State
——New Mexico State $112Jacksonville State $9.5K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $253Under $1.2K
EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $103Over $1.1K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
same side · consensus Milwaukee Brewers
——Milwaukee Brewers $728Milwaukee Brewers $5.4K
Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend
same side · consensus Jay Dylan Friend
——Jay Dylan Friend $7Jay Dylan Friend $264