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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4Flaznorpwhosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market52% (6608–6142, n=12750)59% (1112–788, n=1900)
Consensus PnL——$3.6M-$37K
Tracked as——PM monthly #10was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (83 of 110 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4Flaznorpwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $230Yes $789
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $319Yes $161
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $167Yes $266