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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Newshound | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (692–276, n=968) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $4.1M | $65K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #793 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 23% (won 23% of 218) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 13% (won 65% of 124) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 17% (won 76% of 169) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 47% (won 95% of 457) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.