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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 55% (309–251, n=560) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $32K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #609 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 56% (18 of 32 open) | 59% (149 of 253 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 51% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 59% of 79) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 31% (won 91% of 152) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $182K | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $880 | — | Bucks $765 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $357 | — | Grizzlies $123 |