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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (437–424, n=861)41% (616–869, n=1485)56% (13275–10642, n=23917)
Consensus PnL—$93K$8.4M$1.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #577PM monthly #1PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (13 of 24 open)88% (29 of 33 open)72% (92 of 127 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—49% of 845 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 17% of 143)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 39% of 339)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 59% of 203)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 86% of 160)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.6KNo $36K—