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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo008373primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (5–1, n=6)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL—$41K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #604PM monthly #63PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)54% (85 of 157 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5 at avg 67¢, ROI +48%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 100% of 2)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo008373primmRN1
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
——Iowa State $16KBaylor $21K
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——Texas A&M $2.5KSouth Carolina $22K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $4.2KLSU $29
Spread: Delaware (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
——Delaware $2.1KKennesaw State $1.6K
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KUnder $931