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Spread: Pacers (-6.5)

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Pacers (60%) · Pacers at 54¢ · $1K held · ends Oct 25

Pacers54¢Nets46¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket
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Weak

Pacers

Consensus Traders

5

Pacers 60%

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

$2.51

Smart Money Entry

52.5¢ → 53.5¢

+2% since entry · 3 traders

Smart Money Signal

Pacers

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Pacers54%
Nets47%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Pacers3 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares2,164
Combined PnL+$1.21
Nets2 traders
Total Value$137.55
Total Shares293
Combined PnL+$1.3
Pacers — 60%Nets — 40%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Fading

-7 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 95%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 25/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on Pacers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians
sharpPacers 100% · 1
Aligned
ctrPacers 60% · 5
Aligned
Top 1000Pacers 60% · 5
Aligned

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance55.7%

53.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$79.40
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
179.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9023d2dd...301411
Slug
nba-ind-bkn-2026-10-25-spread-away-6pt5
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