
Spread: Pacers (-6.5)
3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Pacers (60%) · Pacers at 54¢ · $1K held · ends Oct 25
💧
Weak
Pacers
5
Pacers 60%
$1.3K
$2.51
52.5¢ → 53.5¢
+2% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Fading
-7 pts consensus
Breadth
3 traders
Top 2 hold 95%
Freshness
Fresh
2h old
Late Entry
Low
Score 25/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
60% of non-arb traders are on Pacers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | Pacersavg 52¢ | $566.47 | $566.47 | +$10.89 | 47% 1949-2172 (4121) |
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989 | Pacersavg 53¢ | $530 | $520 | -$10 | 69% 4193-1893 (6086) |
GO goldmynameCTR<$100 | Netsavg 47¢ | $76.39 | $75.51 | -$0.02 | 69% 78-35 (113) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Netsavg 46¢ | $60.72 | $62.04 | +$1.32 | 61% 4327-2785 (7112) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Pacersavg 52.8¢ | $54.63 | $54.95 | +$0.32 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
Invested
$566.47
Value
$566.47
PnL
+$10.89
Record
47%
1949-2172 (4121)
Invested
$530
Value
$520
PnL
-$10
Record
69%
4193-1893 (6086)
Invested
$76.39
Value
$75.51
PnL
-$0.02
Record
69%
78-35 (113)
Invested
$60.72
Value
$62.04
PnL
+$1.32
Record
61%
4327-2785 (7112)
Invested
$54.63
Value
$54.95
PnL
+$0.32
Record
54%
13611-11436 (25047)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
53.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.