Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Nets, while the market favors Pacers (56%). 3 of 5 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)
3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Nets (60%) · Nets at 44¢ · $633 held · ends Oct 25
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Contrarian
Nets
5
Nets 60%
$633.33
$2.51
43¢ → 43.5¢
+1% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)Underdog side (market favors Pacers 56%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO goldmynameCTR | Netsavg 43¢ | $302.72 | $309.76 | +$7.04 | 69% 78-35 (113) |
 VeryLucky888 | Pacersavg 57¢ | $292.63 | $258.13 | -$4.82 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Pacersavg 56.5¢ | $38.81 | $38.72 | -$0.09 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Netsavg 43¢ | $38 | $16.72 | +$0.38 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Netsavg 44¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 | 36% 12736-22337 (35073) |
Invested
$302.72
Value
$309.76
PnL
+$7.04
Record
69%
78-35 (113)
VeryLucky888Invested
$292.63
Value
$258.13
PnL
-$4.82
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$38.81
Value
$38.72
PnL
-$0.09
Record
54%
13611-11436 (25047)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$38
Value
$16.72
PnL
+$0.38
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
Invested
$10
Value
$10
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
12736-22337 (35073)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
43.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.