Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 65%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.7K

Combined PnL

$487.6

Smart Money Signal

24 of 36 top traders (67%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up24 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,044

Combined PnL+$820.47

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,960

Combined PnL-$332.87

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MO mo-money	Upavg 76.4¢	$838.51	$1.1K	+$251.84	55% 52350-42819 (95169)
BO bosona	Upavg 77¢	$770.68	$857.8	+$87.12	55% 51695-42148 (93843)
AL almach	Upavg 76.5¢	$673.3	$828.38	+$155.09	55% 50160-41769 (91929)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 58.2¢	$801.6	$781.27	-$20.34	54% 16566-13992 (30558)
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.2¢	$454.8	$781.27	+$326.47
└ Down leg	Downavg 41.2¢	$346.8	—	-$346.8
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 68¢	$649.78	$693.26	+$43.48	59% 11272-7737 (19009)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 78¢	$549.43	$509.68	-$39.75	51% 12072-11547 (23619)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 64.6¢	$487.59	$489.71	+$2.12	55% 14939-12410 (27349)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 64.7¢	$341.15	$362.85	+$21.71	56% 15897-12510 (28407)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 56.8¢	$288.87	$271.69	-$17.18	47% 6525-7238 (13763)
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.8¢	$154.42	$271.69	+$117.27
└ Down leg	Downavg 34.3¢	$134.44	—	-$134.44
BO BonereaperARB<$100	Downavg 38.8¢	$347.66	$251.46	-$96.2	66% 101015-52904 (153919)
└ Up leg	Upavg 66.8¢	$168.03	$251.46	+$83.43
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.8¢	$179.63	—	-$179.63
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 94.7¢	$279.93	$295.5	+$15.57	52% 10543-9889 (20432)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 71.6¢	$249.72	$236.33	-$13.39	50% 6371-6378 (12749)
x-MoneyForWhiskasARB<$100	Downavg 40.7¢	$274.95	$186.79	-$88.16	52% 21099-19255 (40354)
└ Up leg	Upavg 56.9¢	$106.2	$186.79	+$80.59
└ Down leg	Downavg 40.7¢	$168.75	—	-$168.75
NIULAI4	Upavg 76¢	$164.3	$213.69	+$49.39	75% 9876-3300 (13176)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 72.4¢	$177.79	$207.29	+$29.49	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$205.3	$207.98	+$2.68	89% 29315-3554 (32869)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 68.5¢	$190.75	$189	-$1.75	52% 10430-9438 (19868)
KA KARIZMATIKU	Upavg 52.3¢	$193.47	$369.69	+$176.22	52% 707-663 (1370)
pspspsps5	Upavg 65.9¢	$160.86	$200.06	+$39.2	45% 40086-48022 (88108)
ST stepaheadARB<$100	Upavg 62.9¢	$98.13	$101.47	+$3.33	54% 10134-8485 (18619)
└ Down leg	Downavg 31.8¢	$34.32	—	-$34.32
└ Up leg	Upavg 62.9¢	$63.81	$101.47	+$37.65
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 79.5¢	$72.78	$90.65	+$17.87	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 98.1¢	$90.29	$92	+$1.71	65% 130257-70136 (200393)
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Downavg 37.6¢	$71.2	$43.58	-$27.62	65% 114575-61604 (176179)
└ Up leg	Upavg 68.5¢	$29.87	$43.58	+$13.71
└ Down leg	Downavg 37.6¢	$41.33	—	-$41.33
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$33.07	—	-$33.07	63% 42429-25148 (67577)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 93.7¢	$48.34	$30	-$18.34	55% 9839-8152 (17991)

mo-money

Invested

$838.51

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$251.84

Record

55%

52350-42819 (95169)

bosona

Invested

$770.68

Value

$857.8

PnL

+$87.12

Record

55%

51695-42148 (93843)

almach

Invested

$673.3

Value

$828.38

PnL

+$155.09

Record

55%

50160-41769 (91929)

dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100

Invested

$801.6

Value

$781.27

PnL

-$20.34

Record

54%

16566-13992 (30558)

Both legs:

Up$454.858.2¢+$326.47

Down$346.841.2¢-$346.8

1000monkeys

Invested

$649.78

Value

$693.26

PnL

+$43.48

Record

59%

11272-7737 (19009)

blue.birds

Invested

$549.43

Value

$509.68

PnL

-$39.75

Record

51%

12072-11547 (23619)

GoodFallen

Invested

$487.59

Value

$489.71

PnL

+$2.12

Record

55%

14939-12410 (27349)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$341.15

Value

$362.85

PnL

+$21.71

Record

56%

15897-12510 (28407)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$288.87

Value

$271.69

PnL

-$17.18

Record

47%

6525-7238 (13763)

Both legs:

Up$154.4256.8¢+$117.27

Down$134.4434.3¢-$134.44

BonereaperARB<$100

Down

Invested

$347.66

Value

$251.46

PnL

-$96.2

Record

66%

101015-52904 (153919)

Both legs:

Up$168.0366.8¢+$83.43

Down$179.6338.8¢-$179.63

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$279.93

Value

$295.5

PnL

+$15.57

Record

52%

10543-9889 (20432)

ply-pm0

Invested

$249.72

Value

$236.33

PnL

-$13.39

Record

50%

6371-6378 (12749)

x-MoneyForWhiskasARB<$100

Down

Invested

$274.95

Value

$186.79

PnL

-$88.16

Record

52%

21099-19255 (40354)

Both legs:

Up$106.256.9¢+$80.59

Down$168.7540.7¢-$168.75

NIULAI4

Invested

$164.3

Value

$213.69

PnL

+$49.39

Record

75%

9876-3300 (13176)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$177.79

Value

$207.29

PnL

+$29.49

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

hoodquant

Invested

$205.3

Value

$207.98

PnL

+$2.68

Record

89%

29315-3554 (32869)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$190.75

Value

$189

PnL

-$1.75

Record

52%

10430-9438 (19868)

KARIZMATIKU

Invested

$193.47

Value

$369.69

PnL

+$176.22

Record

52%

707-663 (1370)

pspspsps5

Invested

$160.86

Value

$200.06

PnL

+$39.2

Record

45%

40086-48022 (88108)

stepaheadARB<$100

Invested

$98.13

Value

$101.47

PnL

+$3.33

Record

54%

10134-8485 (18619)

Both legs:

Down$34.3231.8¢-$34.32

Up$63.8162.9¢+$37.65

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$72.78

Value

$90.65

PnL

+$17.87

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$90.29

Value

$92

PnL

+$1.71

Record

65%

130257-70136 (200393)

antsaslykuARB<$100

Down

Invested

$71.2

Value

$43.58

PnL

-$27.62

Record

65%

114575-61604 (176179)

Both legs:

Up$29.8768.5¢+$13.71

Down$41.3337.6¢-$41.33

ohioismCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$33.07

Value

—

PnL

-$33.07

Record

63%

42429-25148 (67577)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$48.34

Value

$30

PnL

-$18.34

Record

55%

9839-8152 (17991)

Smart Money Signal

24 of 36 top traders (67%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7ab69f25...b09870

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794006300

Traders in this Market

mo-money

Up — $1.1K

+$251.84

bosona

Up — $857.8

+$87.12

almach

Up — $828.38

+$155.09

dangerously-skip-permissions

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$20.34

1000monkeys

Up — $693.26

+$43.48

blue.birds

Up — $509.68

-$39.75

GoodFallen

Up — $489.71

+$2.12

CrouchPredictions

Up — $362.85

asdcaxz

Arbitrage — excluded

Bonereaper

Arbitrage — excluded