PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
woshikd99BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11699–12471, n=24170)50% (13183–13335, n=26518)
Consensus PnL—$9.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #724PM monthly #1Hand-pickedPM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)75% (12 of 16 open)30% (3 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 87% of 52)10% (won 56% of 2452)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 98% of 169)22% (won 94% of 5319)21% (won 85% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 170)36% (won 99% of 8623)38% (won 94% of 3835)
Entries 70¢ and up—21% (won 100% of 103)31% (won 100% of 7308)32% (won 99% of 3219)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwoshikd99BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Carl Overbeck
opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck
——Carl Overbeck $2.3KYaroslav Demin $317
Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing Wu
opposite sides · consensus Seong-Chan Hong
——Seong-Chan Hong $539Yibing Wu $10