PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tsekinming01beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)89% (54–7, n=61)69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11934–12756, n=24690)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL-$13K$5.8M$13.4M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #662was PM monthly #24PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)51% (38 of 75 open)68% (38 of 56 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2478)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5361)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8705)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7425)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettsekinming01beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Timberwolves $253Warriors $61K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Thunder $854Mavericks $36K
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Pistons $117Hornets $1.5K