PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
trabasainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (16–17, n=33)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13466–13621, n=27087)
Consensus PnL-$2.7K$4.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #814was PM monthly #11PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position36% (13 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettrabasainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
opposite sides · consensus Xinran Sun
Xinran Sun $3.1K—Maria Timofeeva $325
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.7K—Cavaliers $858
Heat vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Hawks
Heat $7—Heat $34