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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| traba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 45% (503–616, n=1119) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (11959–12793, n=24752) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $11.1M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #814 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #17 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (21 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2478) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | traba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Wizards | Wizards $1.2K | Wizards $197K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Mavericks $37K | — | Mavericks $405 |