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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| traba | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (11959–12793, n=24752) | 45% (503–616, n=1119) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $11.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #822 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (21 of 34 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 35% (won 98% of 181) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 34% (won 99% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | traba | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Wizards | Wizards $1.2K | — | — | Wizards $197K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Mavericks $405 | Mavericks $37K |