PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)34% (2090–3981, n=6071)45% (516–628, n=1144)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL-$13K$10.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus43% (6 of 14 open)67% (26 of 39 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2507)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5408)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8790)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7551)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
opposite sides · consensus Mia Pohankova
Alycia Parks $17—Mia Pohankova $47K—
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
opposite sides · consensus Paula Badosa
Harriet Dart $9—Paula Badosa $1.3K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $319—No $7.7K—