PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xheavy8880x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0bezhuz632
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)92% (298–25, n=323)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$442K$4.8K$1.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921Hand-pickedPM monthly #491was PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (59 of 92 open)45% (5 of 11 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)8% (won 67% of 6)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)16% (won 92% of 13)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)73% (won 95% of 58)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)3% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsneakysnake0xheavy8880x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0bezhuz632
Browns vs. Titans
same side · consensus Browns
—Titans $765Titans $115—
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $562Under $23—
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105Under $48—
Giants vs. Texans: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $54Under $24—