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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1Sagand
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)77% (48–14, n=62)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #907
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)53% (26 of 49 open)80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)13% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)21% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)58% (won 90% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.