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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | Sagand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) | 77% (48–14, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #880 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 53% (27 of 51 open) | 88% (7 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 84% of 56 at avg 69¢, ROI +17% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 13% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 7% (won 75% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 21% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 59% (won 91% of 33) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | Sagand |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7.4K | Under $5.8K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $5.8K | TCU $607 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.7K | Arizona $1.5K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $2.3K | TCU $750 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) same side · consensus TCU | — | TCU $9.1K | TCU $792 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K | — |