PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daabeachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)50% (13610–13734, n=27344)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (514–627, n=1141)62% (385–232, n=617)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.8M$10.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #76
Sides with the consensus64% (25 of 39 open)100% (2 of 2 open)73% (29 of 40 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 860)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2252)29% (won 56% of 62)35% (won 98% of 181)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 94% of 4102)54% (won 51% of 115)34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3425)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daabeachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
Team Yandex $3.4K——PARIVISION $49K
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus GamerLegion
OG $4——GamerLegion $13K