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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| notailnotail | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (26–22, n=48) | 50% (13603–13729, n=27332) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409 | $3.6M | $10.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #849 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 65% (33 of 51 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | notailnotail | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Team Yandex | PARIVISION $239 | Team Yandex $3.2K | — | — |