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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nigiri99 | sashasasha5 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) | 49% (21–22, n=43) | 62% (16–10, n=26) | 90% (19–2, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $613K | $15K | $663K | $531K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #76 | PM monthly #935 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (47 of 80 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43% | 94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 34% (won 100% of 10) | 50% (won 100% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 28% (won 100% of 8) | 38% (won 100% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 31% (won 100% of 9) | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nigiri99 | sashasasha5 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | 49ers $109K | — | Cowboys $77K | Cowboys $204 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | 49ers $1.7K | — | — | Cowboys $5.4K |