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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | yalibb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (513–456, n=969) | 88% (15–2, n=17) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $592K | $475K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #683 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (23 of 47 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 40% of 83) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 65% of 158) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 77% of 300) | 0% | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 135) | 67% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | yalibb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.0K | Lions $1.5K | — |