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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | S-Works | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $3.7M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #73 | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | S-Works | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State opposite sides · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $20K | — | Oregon State $18 |
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $5.8K | — | Texas Tech $84 |