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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)58% (1088–777, n=1865)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.5M$14.8M-$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #146PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #661
Sides with the consensus74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position65% (135 of 207 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=287, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=63, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——Tennis −4 pts, n=686
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 2028 at avg 60¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)11% (won 16% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 36% of 531)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)28% (won 58% of 565)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)35% (won 88% of 704)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1primmRN1whosay
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $234K—No $6.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
——Matteo Berrettini $14KMatteo Berrettini $665