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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | pelik | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 99% (4109–14, n=4123) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $74K | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #481 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (25 of 37 open) | 98% (112 of 114 open) | 66% (79 of 119 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 3061 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 0% (won 100% of 3) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 100% (won 100% of 3056) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pelik | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | No $149 | — | — |