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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 46% (269–313, n=582) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.0M | $3.6M | $73K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #48 | was PM monthly #287 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 56% (81 of 144 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 46% of 540 at avg 44¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 41% (won 3% of 223) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 17% (won 34% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 13% (won 78% of 72) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 29% (won 99% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | primm | vtcchampion52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $11K | — | LYON $70K |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $1.0K | — | LYON $5.7K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | UMass $549 | Ball State $2.4K | — |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $269 | — | LYON $124 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $244 | — | LYON $32 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $4.9K | — | Gen.G $186K |