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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)63% (992–576, n=1568)50% (15593–15689, n=31282)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)59% (1112–788, n=1900)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.1M$14.8M-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #92PM monthly #139PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensus70% (52 of 74 open)54% (62 of 114 open)45% (10 of 22 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaRN1whosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.6K—
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $31—Yes $1.3K
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $42—Over $789
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $8Ipek Oz $680—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $459Yosuke Watanuki $20K—
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
—PARIVISION $14K—PARIVISION $706
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $4——
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $204Ivan Gakhov $224—