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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | txwd9991 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (14740–14843, n=29583) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) | 90% (136–15, n=151) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.0M | $14.8M | -$18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #976 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (25 of 35 open) | 62% (103 of 166 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 96% of 144 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 63% (won 95% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 36% (won 98% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | txwd9991 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0M | Yes $76 | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $242K | Yes $53 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $101 | Yes $2.5K | — | — |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi opposite sides · consensus Han Shi | — | Sakura Hosogi $13 | Han Shi $1.9K | — |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $76 | No $1.8K | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $74 | No $662 | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $34 | Under $12 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $820K | Yes $5 | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $503K | Yes $122 | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva same side · consensus Alina Charaeva | — | Antonia Ruzic $41 | Antonia Ruzic $4.9K | — |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $25 | Under $58 | — |