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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 65% (20 of 31 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State vs. Oregon State opposite sides · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $9.7K | Oregon State $78 |